Once an appropriate allocation between different investment types
(for example, stocks, bonds and real estate) has been determined, individual
securities (or mutual funds) must be selected within each investment type.
2. Bottom-up
In a top-down approach the analyst examines the overall economy and market and selects sectors (for example, Services or Technology) that are expected to perform well in the current market conditions. Individual companies are then selected within each sector based upon desired characteristics.
In a bottom-up approach the analyst first identifies individual companies with desired characteristics and then examines the prospects for those companies given current economic and market conditions.
In evaluating
individual securities there are also two main approaches:
· a
price change is imminent, and
· in
which direction and by how much prices are expected to change.
This approach requires
· gathering
substantial amounts of economic data and political intelligence,
· assessing
the expectations of market participants, and
· analyzing
these information to predict futures price movement
There are two basic approaches to individual
security selection:
1. Top-down
In a top-down approach the analyst examines the overall economy and market and selects sectors (for example, Services or Technology) that are expected to perform well in the current market conditions. Individual companies are then selected within each sector based upon desired characteristics.
In a bottom-up approach the analyst first identifies individual companies with desired characteristics and then examines the prospects for those companies given current economic and market conditions.
Regardless of which approach is taken it is
important that the economy, market and industry conditions are considered when
making the decision to invest in individual securities of any type.
1. Fundamental
Analysis
Fundamental analysis seeks to identify the fundamental economic
and political factors that determine a commodity’s price.It is basically an
analysis of the (current and future) demand for and supply of a commodity to
determine if
Technical analysis involves a study of past price and volume data
to discern underlying trends for a security or market. The price of any
asset is partly a function of supply and demand factors. If demand exceeds
supply the price should rise. Conversely if supply exceeds demand the
price should fall. The underlying supply and demand as well as the
behavior of all investors is reflected in charts of price and volume data.
A technical analyst examines these charts to determine if the
current trend is expected to continue or to reverse. Technical analysis
can be useful in evaluating individual securities, industries and the market as
a whole.
Often these two techniques are viewed as mutually exclusive (some
people follow one but not the other). Another view is that the approaches are
complimentary, a company may look great fundamentally but technical analysis
may indicate it is not the best time to buy.