Saturday, February 20, 2016

How automated trading affect future of trading and investing

According to recently released article from Bloomberg: ,,The Rich Are Already Using Robo-Advisers, and That Scares Banks", assets under management in automated programs gradually grow. They should also small investors seek automated solutions for their investments?

Mainstream idea of investing is in passive approach. On the stock markets you are usually trading or better investing in the long-term. It means that you buy shares of a particular company or a whole sector, and hold them. It often indicates the average return of 10% per annum. However, detailed examination shows the fact that achieved return at the investment on the local or regional level, doesn't have to reach positive numbers even in a matter of years. A typical example is Japan where stock market is experiencing bad times for 20 years. This can be good reason to leave old portfolio theory. Investors should in terms of uncorrelated returns and strong balanced portfolio think about adding active trading part. This part can use automated trading which protect investors against psychological aspects of active trading and also optimizes time dedicated to active trading.

Today's technology offers much better conditions to develop and trade automated trading strategies than a few years ago. Computational power together with the involvement of artificial intelligence, machine learning methods and data mining, allow develop and test individual trading logics in fraction of time. Thanks to this can developers of these automated trading strategies discover effective trading logics with predictive capabilities.
Still prevailing opinion that robots cannot replace human. This is the reason of skepticism about automated trading. Investors should realize that automated trading itself is only the end of the whole process. On the beginning is human who define the basics and control the whole process of developing and testing despite the fact that the process is automated. It is much more about looking for objective advantage in the market that can be traded by automated solution. From investor perspective is much easier evaluate results from automated trading than when active trading will make himself.

Automated trading gradually grows and solutions as well. Because the development of automated trading is both financially and knowledge consuming, investors should look for automated solutions, already created by developers for trading. In this point it is more about communication with developer about understanding principles of automated trading solution which he offers. Investors will know, how evaluate results from automated trading, what technological aspects does it contain and what support they receive if anything goes wrong.

Author: Daniel Stepnicka,
Director, Co-Founder of Algofxsolution.com.